When digitalization changes society

By Kristian Dahl & Claus Elmholdt, Founders of LEAD - enter next level

What is welfare? Roughly speaking, it's basically getting more tomorrow than I get today. Expectations of the public sector are constantly rising, and we expect what we get from the public sector to match what we get elsewhere in society. On average, public consumption per capita has only increased by 0.11 percent annually from 2010 to 2018. In comparison, the increase in private consumption of 0.81 percent has been more than seven times as high4. This creates dissatisfaction with the level of service in the public sector and accelerates pressure for the public sector to deliver more. This calls for executive management to bring a wide range of digital solutions into play to try and increase productivity.

At the same time, management will have to navigate the cross-pressure that arises when the demand for more welfare meets another macro trend: Do it yourself. Roughly speaking, the main line here is that virtually all citizens are being told that they must create welfare themselves. Co-creation and co-production are increasingly integrated into the municipality's core operations in all major welfare areas. This is met with digital self-service solutions and automated processes, all of which make citizens their own case manager. In addition, there is a cultural trend that digital natives are getting used to the fact that it is not from professionals or public organizations that you learn something or get what creates value. If there's something you can't figure out, you learn it yourself via YouTube, and if you need a problem solved, you do it through digital social networks.

Traditionally, wellbeing is largely defined as something that is linked to having a large number of skilled professionals. This will not go away, but it is increasingly being supplemented with another perspective that goes something like this: welfare is the best possible technology everywhere. It used to be welfare that there were caregivers and nurses present to turn the elderly and care for their bedsores - now it's welfare that we have intelligent beds that distribute pressure before the bedsores appear.

In principle, by combining a wide range of data, it is possible to predict what needs and possible problems a citizen will have in the future and, based on this, intervene or offer services. For example, we can predict who will have which health problems and who in this group will respond most positively to a health-promoting intervention. At the same time, individuals increasingly expect individualized service. This increases the focus across all disciplines on delivering data-driven, predictive and individualized welfare. As the digital maturity of citizens and politicians increases, there will also be a growing demand to use resources in a much more targeted way and where data and algorithms can predict that they will have the highest degree of impact.

All of the above perspectives assume that the municipality and the digital are central to wellbeing, but what if wellbeing is not something I get from the municipality, but from relationships? Happiness research suggests that these analog things are the key ingredients of a happy life:

  • Being allowed to be something for someone
  • That there is someone who cares about me
  • Being part of a community
  • When talking about digital transformation, it's crucial to consider what digital can't do.

Understand digital transformation and the leadership task

There's a lot of confusion and bullshit bingo about anything that rhymes with digital. The more real reason why digital can be difficult to grasp is this: what digital is, as well as the organizational focus and purpose of digital, has shifted over time. When navigating as a senior leader, it's therefore helpful to keep an eye on three waves of development:

Wave 1 - Digitization: First, it's about the technical process of taking something that's analog and making it digital. The melody on the LP is converted into an MP3 file, and the paper form is powered up so that the citizen checks off online instead. In nerdy circles, the conversion from analog to digital is called 'Digitization' Across the Danish public sector, it becomes a key management focus from the late 90s, driven by the opportunity for savings, smoother administrative processes and up-to-date solutions for citizens. The quick wins are realized and the mood in the boardroom is optimistic.

2. Wave - Digitization: As the analogue becomes digital, it is increasingly possible to build more comprehensive system solutions that bring together communication, data and create new interfaces in the meeting between the citizen and the public organization. Forældreintra, electronic patient records, e-boks, etc. are just a few examples. At the same time, major transformations are taking place in the private sector, where online shopping, social media and pervasive digitization of business processes are creating new business models. Now, the meaning of digitalization is expanding to include the organizational process of developing and implementing new technology, IT, etc. across the organization to create new and improved services or benefits. In other words, the organizational process of making digital work for the organization. At the top of public organizations, this is often a turbulent experience. The destination looks appealing, but the journey rarely goes as planned, and the bill is always bigger than expected. Further down in the organization, the managerial focus turns to two main tasks: A) You need to keep operations running while implementing something new that often doesn't work optimally; and B) You need to develop employee skills and create commitment to the new.

3. Wave - Digital transformation: Here, the focus is not on new technologies, IT etc. but on the radical change in society that occurs as a result of actors at all levels digitizing their processes, business models or ways of acting in the world. The Lime scooter that appeared overnight in Danish cities is a good example of what happens when smartphones, online payment solutions, the trend of renting rather than owning, a focus on green mobility, advanced GPS and platform hiring meet with capital injections from Silicon Valley. In other words: The whole becomes more than the sum of its parts. When almost everything is digitized, it creates both synergies and unpredictable effects that we cannot control, but must act on and navigate. On the other hand, it also means that digital is moving into the core task across all areas that the public organization deals with. At all levels of the public organization, the task becomes, on the one hand, to act in what you can't control and, on the other hand, to use digital everywhere possible as an integral part of the core task. It is fundamentally about ensuring public value creation and actively counteracting value erosion - it is the task of the executive board to ensure that this balance is in the plus side.

In these years, the focus is particularly on the 3rd wave, but that doesn't mean that the previous two waves are irrelevant or a thing of the past. On the contrary, the complexity lies in the following:

  1. We have "technological debt" and other hassles from the first or second wave that we have to deal with as the third wave rolls in.
  2. Our skills and digital mindset are shaped by the first two waves, but the third wave requires something new, and we'll fail if we just do business as usual.
    In the following, we explore some of the new things that digital transformation requires of us and our organizations.

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The future is here now - Welfare society in digital transformation

Whether you're a top manager in the public or private sector, the main trend these days is that digitalization and new technology are moving right into the heart of the core task. Together with KL and the municipal CEOs, we explored what it means when the strategic watchtower is at the heart of the Danish public sector rather than Silicon Valley. From this angle, four basic themes emerged that public sector leaders should pay particular attention to:
Digital transformation is changing the very definition of what welfare is, as well as the way welfare is delivered. At the same time, digital transformation also affects the relationship between citizens and the municipality. We meet each other in new ways with new expectations. Participation in local democracy and community is also taking on new forms. For better or worse. In the following, we unfold these four themes. The goal is not to tell you what to do, but rather to provide an entry point for understanding digital transformation that can be used in working with politicians, the organization and fellow executives. We make a number of suggestions and invite you, as a top manager, to add the themes that you think your organization should address.

Democracy and community in digital transformation

Most public organizations are primarily geared towards thinking about community defined by the organizational chart, specific professional services tied to legislation or based on the geography of the municipality. Therefore, it is natural that the new digital communities, which are formed around the individual citizen's identity, wishes and needs, are experienced as far more relevant and real. For many people, this means that two types of communities are emerging: local, intimate analog communities at "village level" combined with digital communities that are not bound by geography. At the same time, the reality of social media is that we are increasingly connecting with those who are similar to us - often in a more extreme version. There is also plenty of dialog and interaction. It's just primarily within groups that already think the same way. Herein lies an important task: How do we create cohesion in a time characterized by the fragmentation of the larger community? Digital transformation dissolves the idea of local or national. The traditional geographical or administrative framework of where a given topic belongs and who has the right to interfere is being challenged by the new digital reality. Municipalities are increasingly experiencing remote participation in local democracy, where citizens from the other side of the country engage in local political issues and debates far away from where they live. At the same time, the political agenda is also increasingly influenced by rapid mobilization around individual issues. Just think of, for example, #MeToo, Gretha Thunberg's climate mission or Venligboerne. Locally, citizens are becoming increasingly activist on narrow issues, such as fighting to protect a tree that they do not want to be cut down by the municipality, while at the same time opting out of traditional political work. With the municipal elections in 2017 and the parliamentary elections in 2019, new types of politicians are emerging in earnest. They are excellent at using social media as a platform. They often focus on identity politics rather than traditional ideology. This means that the algorithm loves these new politicians because identity politics arouses emotions and conflicts. Many of them have not grown up and been schooled in traditional political parties. They enter the city council directly from Facebook without having taken the traditional political education journey through youth organizations and associations. At the same time, the number of digital natives is growing every day. This is the group of citizens who have not experienced life before the internet and have almost always had a smartphone. Social media and digital is taken for granted and is a prerequisite for being in the world at all. If something is not digital, it doesn't exist. This will really matter in the upcoming municipal elections.

Relationship between the citizen and the public in digital transformation

When digital transformation really takes off, the relationship between the citizen and the public sector changes on several levels. Citizens will have new expectations of the public sector, and the public sector will make new demands on citizens. The Danish public sector has already implemented a number of things that have changed the relationship. Just think of Nemid, Aula, self-service at libraries, etc. In the following, we look ahead to some of the trends that will affect and change the relationship between citizens and the public sector even more:
The public sector is on a digital journey towards a situation where the citizen and the public organization only have unique human encounters and everything else is automated. More and more of the citizen's interfaces with the public sector are moving to digital platforms. Along the way, large parts of case processing, which are currently handled by backstage employees, will also be automated. This will ultimately lead to a situation where the citizen will have two types of primary contact interfaces with the municipality:
  1. Through digital interfaces.
  2. Unique encounters with professionals wherever human contact is needed.
Citizens will also increasingly see professionals making algorithm-assisted decisions. The doctor gets help to make the right diagnosis, and the caseworker gets a second opinion in the child's case. The development is driven by a significant increase in the amount of available data sources and an increase in the complexity of legislation, regulations and professional procedures, which are often contradictory. At the same time, algorithms will increasingly be used to find patterns in data and stimulate professionals to take proactive data-initiated citizen contact. The keywords are: predict, prevent and prevent. Digital transformation means individualization by default. We want products, services and welfare benefits that are tailored to us, rather than standard solutions. The driver is a combination of mutually reinforcing technological and sociological developments. Individualization is putting pressure on most large public and private organizations, as they are designed to efficiently mass produce standardized products or services. Citizens are not satisfied by digital per se, nor do they say thank you when it works. But they do become dissatisfied when it doesn't work optimally. The question of what is optimal is constantly shifting as citizens' expectations are shaped by the digital solutions they encounter from private providers such as Apple and Amazon. The expectation is the development of customer service - on par with all other industries. The most significant shifts in the private sector that are currently shaping our expectations of the public sector are as follows:
  • From choosing between a limited number of products based on company-driven information to choosing between an infinite number of products based on open comparison driven by customers.
  • From 9am-4pm access five days a week - often with a wait - to 24/7 access with no wait.
  • From the company deciding where and how the interaction happens, to the customer controlling where and how the interaction happens.
  • From opaque black-box processes where only the company knows where the order is, to transparent processes where the customer can see live where the case/order is in the process.
Digital transformation puts the role of government under pressure, but with opportunities. Theoretically, public organizations will have endless opportunities to exercise control-based authority through digital surveillance. We have algorithms that systematically look for cheating, direct access to citizens' privacy through their social media and far-reaching possibilities through image recognition software. The limits are not set by technology, but by legislation and our own ethical boundaries. At the same time, digital transformation is also challenging the public sector's monopoly on surveillance of citizens. Many private companies' data collection and registration of citizens' behavior far exceeds what the most totalitarian societies in history have been capable of. In the old days, it was said that everything you do should be front page news. That's still true, but the road to the front page is very different from the road to YouTube. Here, no publishing principles apply. Digital transformation has enabled everyone to document, edit and share everything they experience. The fact that a smartphone is always present - even when it's not being used - gives citizens a kind of countervailing power. Any public employee who exercises authority, whether they grant help to the disabled, refer home help or work with expropriations or simply participate in public meetings, will increasingly experience being recorded, edited and shared. At the same time, most professionals find that the traditional criteria for what is "true knowledge" are increasingly challenged, and you have to navigate in a universe where social influencers and not professionals set the agenda. Overall, top management, together with politicians, have a very important task in setting the direction and building the organization's capacity to navigate a new reality.

The way welfare is delivered in digital transformation

Digital transformation is also changing the way welfare is delivered. Here are some of the trends that are emerging:
Many of the challenges facing our society are so complex and resource-intensive that they exceed what can be solved by public organizations alone. This is one of the main reasons why many municipalities are focusing on co-creation and co-production. Digital transformation means that citizens are increasingly saying: We want to engage and participate, but if you really want to reach us, you need to reach out to us on all platforms - especially digital ones. This calls for systematically building capacity to work with digital co-production. A wide range of private sector industries have been disrupted by platforms. Think of transportation (Uber), hotels (AirBnB), media (YouTube), banks (crowd-funding), restaurants (just eat), cleaning and home services (happyhelper). At the same time, the platform model is currently completely disconnected from the way municipalities deliver welfare, but perhaps it's only a matter of time before we're talking about platform welfare. As more and more people get used to interacting with platforms, the following questions will arise: Why should welfare be delivered by the municipality? Why not create a platform where a wide range of actors can create welfare for each other? This ecosystem perspective is also closely related to seeing open source data as a source for others to create welfare for citizens. The heart of the matter is that the municipality really does two related things: A) Understand the enormous value that lies in the huge amounts of data that they have in storage or have access to. B) Systematically make data accessible and release data so that others can build solutions that create value for citizens. Openness is closely related to one of the key points from the OECD on public sector digitalization. Namely, that public organizations must consider it an independent task to make the delivery of welfare transparent, open and comparable. The top manager's task here is to push for an open and easily accessible data cockpit for citizens that gives them a real opportunity to assess the quality of what the municipality delivers. We are increasingly using technology to ensure that services are delivered at the right time, according to need, rather than according to standard schedules. It's "just in time welfare" when there are smart sensors in trash cans that call the garbage man when it needs to be emptied. It's not efficient welfare if the garbage man doesn't come for a few days or empties the bin on a fixed day of the week, even if it's half empty. Management will also face increasing demands to automate administration and case management in order to free up resources for employees to spend time with citizens on more complex or intimate welfare tasks. Having an employee perform a routine task behind a desk is not welfare if the task can be automated. The more that is delivered digitally, the more demands are placed on the municipality's ability to create a seamless digital and human delivery of welfare. Citizens' patience with disconnected systems only goes one way - down.

What welfare is in digital transformation

The digital transformation is changing and in some ways affecting the basic understanding of what welfare is.

What is welfare? Roughly speaking, it's basically getting more tomorrow than I get today. Expectations of the public sector are constantly rising, and we expect what we get from the public sector to match what we get elsewhere in society. On average, public consumption per capita has only increased by 0.11 percent annually from 2010 to 2018. In comparison, the increase in private consumption of 0.81 percent has been more than seven times as high4. This creates dissatisfaction with the level of service in the public sector and accelerates pressure for the public sector to deliver more. This calls for executive management to bring a wide range of digital solutions into play to try and increase productivity.

At the same time, management will have to navigate the cross-pressure that arises when the demand for more welfare meets another macro trend: Do it yourself. Roughly speaking, the main line here is that virtually all citizens are being told that they must create welfare themselves. Co-creation and co-production are increasingly integrated into the municipality's core operations in all major welfare areas. This is met with digital self-service solutions and automated processes, all of which make citizens their own case manager. In addition, there is a cultural trend that digital natives are getting used to the fact that it is not from professionals or public organizations that you learn something or get what creates value. If there's something you can't figure out, you learn it yourself via YouTube, and if you need a problem solved, you do it through digital social networks.

Traditionally, wellbeing is largely defined as something that is linked to having a large number of skilled professionals. This will not go away, but it is increasingly being supplemented with another perspective that goes something like this: welfare is the best possible technology everywhere. It used to be welfare that there were caregivers and nurses present to turn the elderly and care for their bedsores - now it's welfare that we have intelligent beds that distribute pressure before the bedsores appear.

In principle, by combining a wide range of data, it is possible to predict what needs and possible problems a citizen will have in the future and, based on this, intervene or offer services. For example, we can predict who will have which health problems and who in this group will respond most positively to a health-promoting intervention. At the same time, individuals increasingly expect individualized service. This increases the focus across all disciplines on delivering data-driven, predictive and individualized welfare. As the digital maturity of citizens and politicians increases, there will also be a growing demand to use resources in a much more targeted way and where data and algorithms can predict that they will have the highest degree of impact.

All of the above perspectives assume that the municipality and the digital are central to wellbeing, but what if wellbeing is not something I get from the municipality, but from relationships? Happiness research suggests that these analog things are the key ingredients of a happy life:

  • Being allowed to be something for someone
  • That there is someone who cares about me
  • Being part of a community
  • When talking about digital transformation, it's crucial to consider what digital can't do.

The future is here now

As a public sector leader, you're at the helm of a large societal organization in the midst of a digital revolution that is transforming and changing the basic conditions for public sector leadership. The consequences of the technological development are colossal and call for the entire organization to gear itself to be able to act in a time of digital transformation.

The development calls for strong and new leadership in the Executive Board, because it is the Executive Board - not the IT department - that must engage and get the entire organization on board. It is not about technology or management of digitalization, but rather about how we together ensure that the public organization, together with citizens and politicians, contribute to creating the society and welfare that the community wants in a new era with digital premises. The question is not so much what we can do, but what we want to do. It is important to understand the new technologies, but it is even more important to be able to set a direction based on ethical and democratic considerations. The stakes are high, as digital transformation has the potential to erode the foundations of welfare and destabilize communities.

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